Trump in both crises on Iran issue

US President Donald Trump has once again found himself in a policy quandary on the Iran issue. Although he has suspended military threats, it may not be easy for him to get out of this conflict, analysts say.

Recently, Trump temporarily suspended the threat of attacking Iran's power plants. At the same time, he claimed that progress had been made on 15 points of a possible agreement between the two sides. However, Iran has denied such talks.

According to analysts, while starting a war is easy, it is difficult to stop it. In particular, this conflict has now reached a point where even a small escalation can become a big one. Iran has already put pressure on the global economy by threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz. On the other hand, the United States has also taken a tough military stance.

Trump's recent position indicates some 'de-escalation' or reduction of tension. However, questions have been raised about the lack of consistency in his statements.

On the one hand, he is talking about peace, while on the other hand, he is maintaining preparations for an attack. This has also raised doubts about the credibility of his statements.

On the other hand, it is believed that there may be economic reasons behind Trump's decision. After his announcement, the stock market had a positive impact. The main indices increased by more than one percent. At the same time, global oil prices also fell.

Experts say that Trump is trying to buy time. Because the US forces required for a possible major military operation are not yet fully ready. It may take more time to carry out operations such as capturing Kharg Island or important areas in the Strait of Hormuz.

However, Iran's position is also tough. After a long attack, the country may become more uncompromising. In particular, there is a fear that the influence of hardliners will increase after the loss of their top leadership. This may complicate potential negotiations.

Trump's proposed conditions are also a major obstacle. The demand for Iran to abandon its nuclear program and long-range missiles may not be acceptable to Tehran. Because the recent attacks have shown them more strongly the need for such a defense capability.

Meanwhile, if the war is prolonged, Trump's options are also becoming limited. Escalating attacks could make the situation more uncertain. Deploying ground forces would be politically risky. And suddenly withdrawing from the war could leave allies insecure.

All in all, Trump is in a dilemma on the Iran issue, with no easy solution. Whether to wage war or stop it has now become a major challenge for him.