Trump’s claim vs. reality, will the Iran war last 6 weeks or 6 months?

Trump’s claim vs. reality, will the Iran war last 6 weeks or 6 months?

NYM Desk

Published: 05:14 PM, 7 March 2026

Military and political analysts have expressed great skepticism about US President Donald Trump's prediction about the end of the Iran war.

Trump has claimed that the conflict will end in four to six weeks, but experts say the war could last much longer than expected. In an interview with the Daily Mirror, experts warned that the Trump administration has made a mistake in seriously considering Iran's capabilities and the country's mentality to retaliate.

President Trump and senior officials in his administration have been giving different information about the duration of the war. While Trump initially spoke of four to five weeks, his Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has set a time frame of eight weeks and Press Secretary Caroline Levitt has set a time frame of six weeks.

However, Politico reported that US Central Command has asked the Pentagon for at least 100 days of additional intelligence support, which indicates that the operation could last up to six months.

Professor Arshin Adib-Moghaddam, chairman of the Centre for Iranian Studies at the University of London, said the Trump administration has underestimated Iran's ability to escalate the conflict in the Persian Gulf and beyond. According to him, without a strong diplomatic initiative, this war will have a devastating impact on the world and will last for a long time.

Former US diplomat Gerald Firestein criticized the entire attack as "ad-hoc" or haphazard, saying that Washington suddenly woke up one morning and decided to start a war.

Meanwhile, the economic cost of the war has posed a major challenge to the US administration. According to the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, this war is costing the US more than $890 million per day. The sophisticated missile attacks on Tehran are being carried out every few hours every day, which is further increasing this cost.

Meanwhile, the negative impact of the prolonged conflict, as important sea routes are closed, is now starting to be felt in the global economy.

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