Trump May Launch Major Attack on Iran If His Party Suffers Election Defeat

US President Donald Trump could authorize a major military operation against Iran if the Republican Party performs poorly in the upcoming midterm elections. This concern was highlighted in a report by the American news outlet Axios, ahead of the elections taking place next week.

The report, published on Friday (October 30), states that some US officials believe Trump might take more drastic and significant action if the election results fall short of his expectations.

Speaking on the condition of anonymity, a US official told Axios, "If he feels humiliated or powerless, he might take a major, reckless step."

The official added that this message is also being conveyed to Iranian authorities, suggesting that now is the best opportunity to reach an agreement with the United States.

However, a White House official dismissed this notion, asserting that the election results would have no bearing on Trump’s decisions regarding Iran.

The report notes that Qatar has taken the initiative to resume direct talks between Washington and Tehran. On Friday, Qatari mediators held meetings in Tehran that lasted over 12 hours, during which they remained in constant contact with the White House.

A diplomatic source indicated "positive progress" in the discussions, which are expected to continue today, Saturday (October 31), in Doha.

Nevertheless, a US official stated that the talks have not yet reached a final stage, as both nations have presented conflicting conditions.

Washington demands that Iran make concessions regarding its nuclear program before returning to the negotiating table. Tehran, meanwhile, insists that the US must first lift its naval blockade, release frozen Iranian assets, and allow the sale of Iranian oil.

Furthermore, Qatar is attempting to persuade Tehran to grant UN inspectors access to Iranian nuclear facilities that have previously been targeted by bombings. In exchange, the report suggests, there is a proposal to partially ease sanctions imposed on Iran. According to Axios, there is disagreement among top officials in the Trump administration regarding whether to pursue an agreement with Iran or to exert further military pressure.

The report indicates that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are skeptical about any new deal with Iran; they favor further weakening the country’s current leadership.

Conversely, Vice President JD Vance, along with Trump’s special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, have taken a stance in favor of resuming negotiations with Iran. In short, while efforts to facilitate talks—mediated by Qatar—are underway, there is also discussion regarding the possibility of new military operations against Iran.